Jun 6, 2008

Government Loses Auckland

The latest Roy Morgan poll has Labourites really worried. While nationwide things aren't as grim as a couple of other polls the news that Labour has dropped to 27% in Auckland has people panicking. Things there are only going to get worse in the next few months with high interest rates and inflation really biting.

Winston remains below 4% and the Greens are down a bit.

We repeat in full the poll summart from Roy Morgan Research

In early June 2008 National Party support was 50.5% (up 1.5%), Labour Party 32% (down 3%), Greens 7% (down 0.5%), NZ First 4% (unchanged), Maori Party 3% (up 0.5%), ACT NZ 1.5% (up 0.5%) and United Future 1% (up 0.5%) the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Morgan Poll shows.
If the General election were held today the National Party would win, according to the latest New Zealand Morgan Poll.
The fall in the Labour Party vote was because of a large fall in the Labour Party vote in Auckland to a new low of 27% (down 7.5%) while the National Party vote in Auckland rose to 56.5% (up 5.5%).
The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating remained at its record-low 93.5 (down 25pts since March). The record lows of the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating are matched by a new record low reached by the
Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating of 85.4 — down 40.9pts since 2007.
Electors were asked: “Generally speaking, do you feel that things in New Zealand are heading in the right direction or would you say that things are seriously headed in the wrong direction?”

Gary Morgan says:
“On May 22, the Labour Government delivered their final Budget of their Parliamentary term as large tax cuts failed to connect with New Zealand electors.
“Electors in Auckland gave the Budget a big thumbs down as Labour Party support in Auckland plunged to a new low of 27% (down 7.5% after the Budget).
“The record low reading of the
Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating, now 85.4 down 40.9pts in 2008, shows New Zealanders are worried about the economy and their financial situation. Confidence in Helen Clarks’ Government remains at a record low 93.5.
“The lack of a “Budget bounce” shows that New Zealanders are tiring of Clarks’ Government and Labour is running out of options as it heads towards Electoral defeat later in the year.”

This latest Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 857 electors between May 19 — June 1, 2008.