Feb 6, 2008

Polls and Super Tuesday

We were just sitting down to write a post saying that Farrar was right and we were wrong about Zogby, when we checked on Kiwiblog to read that Farrar had beaten us to that thought.

Only one poll that we read (Suffolk) got it close to right in California, but we agree that Zogby was the furthest from the mark for both the races in California. Most other polls were interestingly pretty wrong in California as well. No doubt there will be much analysis on this over the next few days.

We do have to note that Zogby did get New York , New Jersey and the incredibly close Missouri result correct (in terms of a winner for both parties). So it is a mixed message. We agree with David that Zogby's reputation will take a hit on this. For the rest of the race we will be posting multiple poll results.

As an aside we are amazed at the extent on the McCain victory in California. He has won pretty much every county. The delegate count is enormous. This is a further blow to Romney.